
Saturday night at a Nashville fundraiser, former President Bill Clinton and his VP, Al Gore, were together again, pressing hard for health care.
The assembled group of diners spent roughly $600,000.00 for the honor of spending the evening with their idols, who took the chance to push the alleged importance of a national health care system. Gore spouted his usual platitudes, specifically that the country has a “moral duty” to pass Obama’s unpopular health reforms, but it was Bill Clinton who brought the issue home – at least for Democrats.
“We need to pass a bill this year,” Clinton said, “Doing nothing is not only the worst thing we can do for the economy, it’s the worst thing we can do for the country. It’s also the worst thing we can do for the Democrats.”
Let’s set aside the fact that no one has suggested we “do nothing.” We’ll ignore the truth: that the opposition party has come up with a multitude of ideas geared toward fixing the current system rather than scrapping it and starting over with a massive, unsustainable bureaucracy. Let’s just focus on the fact that Bill thinks that a failure to pass health care before the end of the year would be bad for Dems.
In one sense, he’s right. If the Dems fail to get Obamacare this year, 2010 will get ugly. If Democrat wonks like Charlie Cook are even halfway correct in suggesting that the party may lose 20+ seats in next year’s election, there is no way that moderate Dems will tackle such a third rail issue while campaigning. Their failure to pass it will look like tremendous weakness, showcasing an inability to achieve their number one goal even as they hold the Presidency and overwhelming majorities in Congress. The far left base, already displeased with what it incorrectly views as rampant Presidential and Congressional centrism, will be furious.
On the other hand, it’s becoming less and less likely that the Dems have any real chance of passing the unpopular public option unless they do so without any bipartisan support. If they do, the damage to their party will be far, far worse.
The nuclear option, called “reconciliation,” is the go-it-alone Democrat plan to ram a neutered health care bill down the throats of a nation now 80% opposed to it. It’s already receiving serious consideration, and when Congress reconvenes, it may be put into action. Make no mistake, if they do it, it will decimate the Democratic Party.
Sure, the far left will love it. No one is arguing that. The base will be ecstatic. However, Obama’s support among moderates and independents is already plummeting. If he leads the fight for reconciliation, he will lose them, and the loss of that support will bury the party for the foreseeable future.
If Obama was smart, he’d scrap the House and Senate plans, take a deep breath, and start over. This time, he could actually try for the bipartisan involvement he likes to pretend he worked for the first time. Mind you, the resulting plan would still be bloated and unnecessary, but he could claim a massive win and, just maybe, save his party from the impending disaster of the 2010 elections.
Obama’s problem is that he won’t do it. He can’t. His ego won’t allow it. If there is one problem we’ve seen from this President, time and time again, it’s that he can’t separate himself from the issues he champions. In Barack’s White House, any defeat seems to be taken as a personal slap in the face.
So, he’ll lock his party into a collision course with next year’s elections, hoping that there’s enough of the old Obama charm left to save his party’s skin.
If the Dems are planning on taking that route, they’d better hope the polls are wrong.
- Robert Laurie




















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