
You have to admit, he’s got cajones. In a speech where many expected him to ditch the wildly unpopular “public option,” Obama did exactly the opposite. During the address last night, he actually doubled down, putting his already damaged credibility, and the future of his administration on the line, saying “I am not the first president to take up this cause, but I am determined to be the last.”
The plan he’s after, one which includes the public option, will cost $900 Billion over the next decade. Of course, that assumes that the numbers are right, that there aren’t any unforeseen costs, and that the program stays at the size envisioned. Given that just about every other massive federal program has ballooned, been riddled with fraud and corruption, or been woefully underestimated cost-wise, I think we can all agree that the $900 Billion figure is a bit Pollyanna-ish.
Last night, the President said he would “not sign a plan that added one dime to our deficits, either now or in the future.” So, how will he find almost a trillion dollars without raising a deficit? Well, according to Obama there are hundreds of billions of dollars worth of waste and fraud in Medicare, which he will cut.
Huh.
So, rather than cut the hundreds of billions of waste now, fixing the bankrupt Medicare system, Obama’s pledge is to only cut that waste and fraud if it’s used for socialized medicine? If the Feds have allowed Medicare to become so rife with corruption that it’s going to throw away almost a trillion dollars over the next ten years, why should I have ANY hope that the same criminality won’t affect Obamacare? Similarly, if Obama isn’t willing to get rid of such corruption unless it’s done to support his agenda, what does that say about the president? Waste, it seems, is just fine…at least until he needs the money for something else.
Prior estimates by the Congressional Budget Office have shown that even if Obama achieves every one of the cuts he’s proposed, the plan will still be bankrupt and running defecits in just eight and a half years – conveniently, just after he leaves office. Perhaps that’s what the President was referring to when he said that significant “details still need to be ironed out.”
Despite all the lingering questions, during his speech, The President continued to speak with certainty. “As soon as I sign this law,” he said, not “if.” With the joint Congressional address, Obama has staked it all on the passage of a public option. He claims the government run plan has become unpopular due to lies and fabrications perpetrated by Republicans and talk radio hosts.
If only he were so lucky. The plan’s unpopular because people have now had time to read and digest it. It’s not about lies, it’s about the inconvenient facts contained in both the House and Senate plans. “Pay no attention to all the scary stories,” Obama said, channeling the Great and Powerful Oz.
Sadly, Obama is rapidly starting to look like the impotent old “Man Behind The Curtain,” and the truth of what he faces is that as of yesterday, only 42% approved of his health care machinations. In the House, a recent whip count shows that the Dems don’t have the votes to pass the plan, perhaps not even if they take the nuclear option of reconciliation.
Remember, if the Democrats in Congress were behind this measure, we’d already have it. Obama can get this signed into law without a single Republican vote. That he’s been unable to do it says a lot about his lack of leadership. A single speech, most of which was simply repetition of the same lies and half-truths he’s been spouting for months, is unlikely to turn it around. If the measure fails, it will be because Democrats killed it, and the damage to Obama’s administration will be nigh-on incalculable.
If he somehow manages to pull it off, he may have a bigger problem. Congressional Democrats, who already face a nightmare scenario in the 2010 elections, would be decimated. In 2012, Obama would be forced to campaign for re-election after jamming the despised bill down the throats of an electorate which has already made its position quite clear.
“I am not the first president to take up this cause,” Obama said, “but I am determined to be the last.”
Hopefully, he’s right. If we can stop it now, perhaps we can head toward a brighter future where Presidents would be less eager to champion such a ridiculous plan.
- Robert Laurie